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A Live Introduction to Data Science: Naive Bayes and Holt-Winters Forecasting

3/12/2014

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A month ago I spoke at Strata Conf in Santa Clara. Unlike my usual talks, this one was a 3 hour tutorial taken from my book, Data Smart. Specifically, I spent 3 hours doing chapter 3 and an abbreviated chapter 8. On the whole, I think it was a useful session, so I've posted it online so anybody can follow along.

Chapter 3 is an introduction to supervised machine learning via naive Bayes. And Chapter 8 is demand forecasting using triple exponential smoothing (Holt-Winters).

The first 5 minutes of the first video have garbled audio, but the tech fixes it before too long. My apologies.

To follow along, download the spreadsheets for chapters 3 and 8 from the downloads section of the book's website:
http://www.wiley.com/WileyCDA/WileyTitle/productCd-111866146X.html

Direct links:
http://media.wiley.com/product_ancillary/6X/11186614/DOWNLOAD/ch03.zip
http://media.wiley.com/product_ancillary/6X/11186614/DOWNLOAD/ch08.zip

You'll need to unzip these spreadsheets and clear some data out of them per my instructions in the talk. Also, you'll need access to spreadsheet software.

PART 1:
You're doing great, hang in there! Part 2:
Can you feel the knowledge washing over you? Part 3:
One lap to go!!! Part 4:
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The $30/hr Data Scientist

3/6/2014

11 Comments

 
Yesterday a journalist asked me to comment on Vincent Granville's post about the $30/hr data scientist for hire on Elance. What started as a quick reply in an email, spiraled a bit, so I figured I'd post the entire reply here to get your thoughts in the comments.

When we ask the question, "Can someone do what a data scientist does for $30/hr?" we first need to answer the question, "What does a data scientist do?" And there are a multitude of answers to that question. 


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    Hey, I'm John, the data scientist at MailChimp.com.

    This blog is where I put thoughts about doing data science as a profession and the state of the "analytics industry" in general.

    Want to get even dirtier with data? Check out my blog "Analytics Made Skeezy", where math meets meth as fictional drug dealers get schooled in data science.

    Reach out to me on Twitter at @John4man

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